Ka Tīmata Anō te Tipu o te Ahumahi Hiko me te Mamati o Tiamana i te Tau 2026

E ai ki te huihuinga pāpāho ā-tau a te Rōpū Kaihanga Hiko me te Hikohiko Tiamana (ZVEI), whai muri i ngā tau e toru o te noho pūmau me te heke, e matapaetia ana ka tīmata anō te tipu o te umanga hiko me te mamati o Tiamana mō te wā tuatahi i te tau 2026, me te putanga tuturu e matapaetia ana ka piki ake mā te 2% ia tau, ka mutu te heke tonu o te umanga, ā, kua pumau te umanga whānui. Ehara i te mea tūpono tēnei whakaoranga, engari ko te hua o te whakatikatika rautaki tonu, te pikinga o te haumi ki te R&D hangarau, me te hanganga hua kua whakapaitia e ngā umanga umanga. Ki te titiro whakamuri ki ngā tau e toru kua pahure ake nei, i pāngia e ngā āhuatanga maha pēnei i te whakararuraru o te mekameka tuku o te ao, te pikinga o ngā utu pūngao, me te pikinga o te pēhanga pikinga, kua tūtaki te umanga hiko me te mamati o Tiamana ki ngā wero nui. I te tau 2023 me te 2024, kua heke te putanga tuturu o te umanga mā te 3.2% me te 1.8% ia tau. He maha ngā umanga i pāngia e ngā raruraru pēnei i te whakaiti i ngā ota, te pikinga o ngā utu, me te kaha whakaputa kore mahi, ā, ko ētahi umanga iti me te rahi-rahi i taka ki roto i ngā uauatanga whakahaere. Hei whakatau i te raruraru, kua whakaurua e te kāwanatanga Tiamana ētahi kaupapa here tautoko, tae atu ki te whakarato tautoko R&D, te whakaiti i ngā taake umanga, me te arotau i te tuku pūngao, hei āwhina i ngā umanga ahumahi ki te whakatau i ngā uauatanga, me te whakatakoto i tētahi turanga kaupapa here mō te whakaoranga i te tau 2026.

Ngā whakaaturanga raraunga taipitopitoko te umanga hiko me te mamati o Tiamana i whakaatu i ngā tohu o te whakaoranga i te tau 2025, me te whiwhinga moni ā-tau o ngā taonga me ngā ratonga e ārahi ana i te hurihanga pai. E matapaetia ana ka eke te whiwhinga moni ā-tau ki te 226 piriona euros, he pikinga 2.7% ki te 220 piriona euros i te tau 2024. I roto i ēnei, i tino piki ake te whiwhinga moni o ngā hua me ngā ratonga matihiko, me te pikinga ā-tau o te 5.3%, ka noho hei kaha matua mō te tipu o te whiwhinga moni a te umanga. I noho pumau tonu te āhua o te mahi. I te mutunga o Noema 2025, he paku neke atu te maha o ngā kaimahi i roto i te umanga i te 877,000, he hekenga 1.7% ki te tau o mua, engari he iti rawa te hekenga i te tumanakohanga mākete o te 3.5%. Nā te mea kua whai hua ngā umanga ki te whakaū i ngā tūranga mahi mā te arotau i te hanganga kaimahi me te whakawhānui ake i ngā mākete e puta ake ana. I taua wā anō, i piki ake te tapeke o ngā ota hou i roto i te umanga mā te 5% i te tau 2025, ā, i piki ake ngā ota mai i te rāngai ahumahi mā te 7.2%, inā koa ko ngā ota i roto i ngā wāhanga pēnei i ngā hikohiko motuka me te aunoatanga ahumahi i tino piki ake, ā, he tautoko pakari tēnei mō te whakaoranga i te tau 2026. I tua atu, kua piki haere te hua o ngā umanga umanga. I te tau 2025, i eke te toharite o te hua o te umanga ki te 4.8%, he pikinga 0.6 ōrau i whakaritea ki te tau 2024, ā, i haere tonu te whakaoranga o te whakapono o ngā kamupene ki te mahi.

Mō ngā kaweake, i tino pai te mahi a ngā hua hiko Tiamana me ō rātou kounga pai me ngā painga hangarau. Mai i Hanuere ki Noema 2025, i piki ake ngā kaweake (tae atu ki ngā kaweake anō) mā te 4.6% i ia tau, tae atu ki te 236.2 piriona euros, ā, kua mau tonu te tipu pai o te rahinga kaweake mō ngā marama e 8 karapīpiti. I roto i ēnei, ko te tipu kaweake ki te mākete kotahi o te EU me te United Kingdom te tautoko matua, me te pikinga tau-ki-te-tau o te 6.8%, e 62% o te rahinga kaweake katoa, ā, he pai te whakakore i te hekenga o ngā kaweake ki te United States me Haina. Nā te pānga o ngā huringa o te taiao hokohoko o te ao, i heke te kaweake hua hiko Tiamana ki te United States me Haina mā te 2.1% me te 1.5% i ia tau i te tau 2025. Mai i te tirohanga o te hanganga hua kaweake, i tere te tipu o ngā hua tāpiri uara nui pēnei i ngā taputapu hiko teitei, ngā pūnaha aunoatanga ahumahi, me ngā pūoko atamai, me te pikinga tau-ki-te-tau o te 8.3%, e whakaatu ana i te kaha hangarau o te umanga hiko me te mamati o Tiamana. I tēnei wā, ko te reiti whakamahinga kaha o te umanga he 78%, he 4 ōrau teitei ake i te tau kua hipa, engari kei te noho tonu te āputa mai i te taumata toharite mō te wā roa o te 83%, ko te tikanga hoki he nui tonu te kaha tipu o te umanga. Me te pikinga tonu o ngā ota, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake te reiti whakamahinga kaha.

I te huihuinga pāpāho, i whakanui a Jörg Koch, Tiamana o ZVEI, ko te mātauranga horihori ahumahi te whai wāhitanga matua ki te tipu mō te ahumahi hiko me te mamati o Tiamana kia tutuki ai te whakaoranga pumau me te whakakotahi i te whakataetae o te ao, me te aronga matua hoki o te whanaketanga o te ahumahi ā muri ake nei. He painga tuatahi tā ngā umanga Tiamana i roto i te mara o ngā tono AI ahumahi, inā koa i ngā wāhanga pēnei i te aunoatanga ahumahi, te hanga atamai, me te rorohiko tika, me te kohikohi hangarau hohonu. Ka taea te whakangungu i ā rātou tauira rorohiko ahumahi me te arotautanga mā te whakamahi i ngā raraunga ahumahi tika, kaua ki te whakawhirinaki ki ngā tauira reo nui e whakahaerehia ana e ngā umanga o Amerika me Haina. He whai kiko ake, he whai hua hoki tēnei tono AI e hangai ana ki ngā horopaki ahumahi, ka taea te whakapai ake i te pai o te whakaputa, te whakaiti i ngā utu whakaputa, me te arotau i te kounga hua. E ai ki te matapae a te Fraunhofer Institute i Tiamana, i te tau 2035, e matapaetia ana ka hangaia e Tiamana te 144 piriona euros o te uara tāpiri i roto i te mara o te AI ahumahi, ka akiaki i te uara putanga whānui o te umanga kia tipu ake i te 30%, ā, ka hangaia he maha o ngā mahi kounga teitei. Hei tāpiritanga, e karanga ana te rōpū ki te EU kia whakahoutia te "Ture AI" me te aukati i ngā tono AI ahumahi mai i ngā ture tino kaha hei whakangawari i ngā here ki te auahatanga ahumahi, hei karo i ngā ture nui rawa e aukati ana i te R&D hangarau me te whakawhānui mākete a ngā umanga, me te āwhina i te umanga AI ahumahi o Tiamana kia mau tonu tōna tūranga ārahi o te ao.